An Examination of the Distribution of Hurricane Forecast Errors Using Probability Ellipses PDF Download
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Author: René V. Cormier
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Hurricanes
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
Author: René V. Cormier
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Hurricanes
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
Author: NAVAL AIR STATION NORFOLK VA.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
The fact that tropical cyclones move in erratic, apparently unpredictable paths has been recog nized by navigators and meteorologists for over half a century. The advent of the international ship reporting system late in the 19th century and aircraft reconnaissance during World War II have created advancements in the tracking of these storms; concurrently, improvements have been made in forecasting storm movement. No presently known technique, however, yield the consistent desired degree of accuracy. Research currently being conducted indicates that the problem of forecasting storm movement is so com plex that it may require many years of research and large expenditures before 'pin point' accu racy may be expected in the forecasts. It must, then, be anticipated that the official warnings will contain errors. Records of forecast errors provide a source of information from which the nature of the expected forecast errors may be deduced in order that fleet commanders may better ''live'' with the errors made. (Author).
Author: United States. Air Weather Service
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorology in aeronautics
Languages : en
Pages : 804
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Author: Colin S. Ramage
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorology
Languages : en
Pages : 500
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 2180
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Author: Gary D. Atkinson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Atmospheric circulation
Languages : en
Pages : 372
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Book Description
A practical manual for training and reference use of USAF weather forecasters who will work in the tropics, it covers basic facts of climatology, circulation, synoptic models, analysis and forecasting, application throughout the tropics. A broad survey is made of the literature, evaluated in light of the experience of the author. Physical factors controlling tropical circulations are briefly discussed. The data sources for synoptic purposes are reviewed. Climatology of pressure, winds, temperature, humidity, clouds, rainfall and disturbances is presented in a form specially suitable for forecasters. Analysis and for forecasting of disturbances, cyclones, severe weather, terminal weather, etc., are treated at length. Emphasis is placed on uses of climatology and satellite cloud photos. Over 230 figures adapted from the literature or prepared by the author serve to illustrate all the essential facts and principles discussed. A summary of the state of art and future outlook of tropical meteorology is included.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorology
Languages : en
Pages : 924
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Author: T. Michael Carter
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Hurricane protection
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Atmospheric chemistry
Languages : en
Pages : 914
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aeronautics in meteorology
Languages : en
Pages : 512
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