An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls PDF Download
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Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451925867
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30
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Book Description
A small macroeconomic model based on familiar theoretical considerations is developed and estimated using data from 31 developing countries. Efficient estimation techniques are used to control for country heterogeneity under the assumption of rational expectations. The estimates and the test statistics suggest that the model could serve well as a framework for developing-country macroeconomic analysis. An interesting feature of the specification of the model is that it allows the hypothesis of capital mobility to be explicitly tested. The empirical analysis suggests that on average developing countries tend to exhibit a high degree of capital mobility.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451925867
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30
Get Book Here
Book Description
A small macroeconomic model based on familiar theoretical considerations is developed and estimated using data from 31 developing countries. Efficient estimation techniques are used to control for country heterogeneity under the assumption of rational expectations. The estimates and the test statistics suggest that the model could serve well as a framework for developing-country macroeconomic analysis. An interesting feature of the specification of the model is that it allows the hypothesis of capital mobility to be explicitly tested. The empirical analysis suggests that on average developing countries tend to exhibit a high degree of capital mobility.
Author: Nadeem Ul Haque
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital movements
Languages : en
Pages : 28
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Book Description
Author: Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135179778
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 402
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Book Description
Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
Author: Richard Hemming
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781557752192
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 340
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Book Description
This volume, edited by Mohsin S. Khan, Peter J. Montiel, and Nadeem U. Haque, examines recent IMF-developed empirical macroeconomic models dealing with adjustment and stabilization policies in developing countries. Some models are relevant for specific countries, and others relate to groups of developing countries.
Author: Peter J. Montiel
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139498339
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 779
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Book Description
The macroeconomic experience of emerging and developing economies has tended to be quite different from that of industrial countries. Compared to industrial countries, emerging and developing economies have tended to be much more unstable, with more severe boom/bust cycles, episodes of high inflation and a variety of financial crises. This textbook describes how the standard macroeconomic models that are used in industrial countries can be modified to help understand this experience and how institutional and policy reforms in emerging and developing economies may affect their future macroeconomic performance. This second edition differs from the first in offering: extensive new material on themes such as fiscal institutions, inflation targeting, emergent market crises, and the Great Recession; numerous application boxes; end-of-chapter questions; references for each chapter; more diagrams, less taxonomy, and a more reader-friendly narrative; and enhanced integration of all parts of the work.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451973063
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 292
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Book Description
This paper analyzes macroeconomic effects of projected population aging in industrial countries. The effects of population aging are examined with a theoretical model and simulations of the IMF’s multiregion econometric model (MULTIMOD). The study highlights that an older population will consume more of aggregate disposable income, require higher government expenditure, and decrease labor supply. These effects should raise real interest rates and lower capital stock and output. Effects on current balances will depend on the relative speed and extent of aging.
Author: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Publisher: The Minerva Group, Inc.
ISBN: 0894990683
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 113
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Book Description
"A Prescription for Monetary Policy," originally published in 1976, contains the proceedings from a series of seminars. The seminars addressed the question, "How should the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) make monetary policy?" The need to carefully reexamine this question gained in urgency as the economic distress story of the mid-1970s unfolded. In recognition of the unsatisfactory state of the economy, a major Federal Reserve System research program was launched under the auspices of the FOMC?s Committee on the Directive. The study?s objective was to produce for the FOMC?s consideration a set of recommendations on how to improve the execution of monetary stabilization policy.
Author: Matthew Bishop
Publisher: Bloomberg Press
ISBN: 9781861975805
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 282
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Book Description
Author: Ray C. FAIR
Publisher: Harvard University Press
ISBN: 0674036638
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 314
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Book Description
Macroeconomics tries to describe and explain the economywide movement of prices, output, and unemployment. The field has been sharply divided among various schools, including Keynesian, monetarist, new classical, and others. It has also been split between theorists and empiricists. Ray Fair is a resolute empiricist, developing and refining methods for testing theories and models. The field cannot advance without the discipline of testing how well the models approximate the data. Using a multicountry econometric model, he examines several important questions, including what causes inflation, how monetary authorities behave and what are their stabilization limits, how large is the wealth effect on aggregate consumption, whether European monetary policy has been too restrictive, and how large are the stabilization costs to Europe of adopting the euro. He finds, among other things, little evidence for the rational expectations hypothesis and for the so-called non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) hypothesis. He also shows that the U.S. economy in the last half of the 1990s was not a new age economy.
