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Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451952171
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 65
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Book Description
The methodology used in this paper has three distinguishing features: the natural rate of unemployment and potential output are jointly estimated; estimation integrates wage and price data with “real” and structural data; and third, the methodology encompasses many of the methods found in the literature. The results indicate that potential output growth has recovered somewhat during the early 1980s, but remains below the rapid rates of increase in the late 1960s. The natural rate, after rising during the late 1960s and the 1970s, is found to have declined in the 1980s. The paper concludes with an assessment of medium-term prospects for potential output and-the natural rate.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451952171
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 65
Get Book Here
Book Description
The methodology used in this paper has three distinguishing features: the natural rate of unemployment and potential output are jointly estimated; estimation integrates wage and price data with “real” and structural data; and third, the methodology encompasses many of the methods found in the literature. The results indicate that potential output growth has recovered somewhat during the early 1980s, but remains below the rapid rates of increase in the late 1960s. The natural rate, after rising during the late 1960s and the 1970s, is found to have declined in the 1980s. The paper concludes with an assessment of medium-term prospects for potential output and-the natural rate.
Author: Christina D. Romer
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226724832
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 434
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Book Description
While there is ample evidence that high inflation is harmful, little is known about how best to reduce inflation or how far it should be reduced. In this volume, sixteen distinguished economists analyze the appropriateness of low inflation as a goal for monetary policy and discuss possible strategies for reducing inflation. Section I discusses the consequences of inflation. These papers analyze inflation's impact on the tax system, labor market flexibility, equilibrium unemployment, and the public's sense of well-being. Section II considers the obstacles facing central bankers in achieving low inflation. These papers study the precision of estimates of equilibrium unemployment, the sources of the high inflation of the 1970s, and the use of non-traditional indicators in policy formation. The papers in section III consider how institutions can be designed to promote successful monetary policy, and the importance of institutions to the performance of policy in the United States, Germany, and other countries. This timely volume should be read by anyone who studies or conducts monetary policy.
Author: Tim Congdon
Publisher: Encounter Books
ISBN: 159403544X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 522
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Book Description
In the 15 years to mid-2007 the world economy enjoyed unparalleled stability (the so-called “Great Moderation”), with steady growth and low inflation. But the period since mid-2007 (“the Great Recession”) has seen the worst macroeconomic turmoil since the 1930s. A dramatic plunge in trade, output and employment in late 2008 and 2009 has been followed by an unconvincing recovery. How is the lurch from stability to instability to be explained? What are the intellectual origins of the policy mistakes that led to the Great Recession? What theories motivated policies in the USA and other leading nations? Which ideas about economic policy have proved right? And which have been wrong? Money in a Free Society contains 18 provocative essays on these questions from Tim Congdon, an influential economic adviser to the Thatcher government in the UK and one of the world’s leading monetary commentators. Congdon argues that academic economists and policy-makers have betrayed the intellectual legacy of both Keynes and Friedman. These two great economists believed – if in somewhat different ways – in the need for steady growth in the quantity of money. But Keynes has been misunderstood as advocating big rises in public spending and large budget deficits as the only way to defeat recession. That has led under President Obama to an unsustainable explosion in American public debt. Meanwhile the Fed has ignored extreme volatility in the rate of money growth, contrary to the central message of Friedman’s analytical work. In his 1923 Tract on Monetary Reform Keynes said, “The Individualistic Capitalism of today, precisely because it entrusts saving to the individual investor and production to the individual employer, presumes a stable measuring-rod of value, and cannot be efficient--perhaps cannot survive--without one.” In Money in a Free Society Congdon calls for a return to stable money growth and sound public finances, and argues that these remain the best answers to the problems facing modern capitalism.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781557758392
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 268
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Book Description
Supporting Studies for the World Economic Outlook, prepared by IMF staff, provide a more detailed analysis of issues recently covered in the main pubication. The current edition includes studies of globalization and growth, the future of the international financial system, currency crises, business cycles and exchange rates, supply-side issues in the contractions experienced in the Baltics, Russia, and other countries of the former Soviet Union, and challenges to European labor markets posed by European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU).
Author: Donghyun Park
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814496790
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 452
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Book Description
This book is a compilation of papers written jointly by the staff and students of the Applied Economics Division of the Nanyang Business School. It is unique, in that all the works included are the result of an extensive, equal and mutually beneficial collaboration between the students and staff. At the same time, they embody the highest level of technical and analytical rigor, and will be immensely relevant and useful to readers interested in East Asian economic issues. In particular, this volume will prove valuable for anyone interested in both the microeconomic and macroeconomic developments affecting Singapore and ASEAN.
Author: Jon D. Kendall
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9789810232986
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 452
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Book Description
This book is a compilation of papers written jointly by the staff and students of the Applied Economics Division of the Nanyang Business School. It is unique, in that all the works included are the result of an extensive, equal and mutually beneficial collaboration between the students and staff. At the same time, they embody the highest level of technical and analytical rigor, and will be immensely relevant and useful to readers interested in East Asian economic issues. In particular, this volume will prove valuable for anyone interested in both the microeconomic and macroeconomic developments affecting Singapore and ASEAN.
Author: Mr.Jorge Roldos
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451947976
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26
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Book Description
This paper estimates potential output and the sources of growth in Chile during 1970-96. Actual output is cointegrated with the quality-adjusted measures of capital and labor, and constant returns to scale cannot be rejected. The estimates of potential output show a positive output gap in the years when the Chilean economy was deemed to be overheated. In 1986-90, the quality-adjusted labor variable explains close to 60 percent of the growth rate of GDP, while during 1991-95 capital formation plays a dominant role. The contribution of TFP growth in Chile is relatively small, but, based on a comparison with European and East Asian experiences, it is expected to increase in the medium term.
Author: Peter Kriesler
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 113482596X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 630
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Book Description
Geoff Harcourt has had a major impact on the field of Post-Keynesian economics, not only in his research but also in his teaching. Many of Harcourts students have gone on to make valuable contributions in this field. This volume brings together contributions from thirty such former students, now established in academic institutions around the world
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781557752000
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 192
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Book Description
This paper discusses comparison of economic and social indicators in the year 1988 between Federal Republic of Germany (FRG) and German Democratic Republic (GDR). The budgetary costs of unification will be substantially larger than initially envisaged. Moreover, if one adds to the budget the increases in government debt related to equalization paper, a portion of the old enterprise debt on the books of the banks. The Trust Fund has been assigned a task or enormous scope and complexity: the privatization, restructuring, and in some cases, liquidation of 8000 enterprises with 4 million employees. Even taking care of the short-run financial problems of these enterprises has proved daunting; the more fundamental task will be near impossible to achieve with any rapidity. It is clearly essential to the success of economic integration that capital allow east rather than labor flowing west and that income growth and new opportunities arc enough to meet reasonable aspirations on the pan of the residents of East Germany.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451835922
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 79
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Book Description
This Selected Issues paper describes a variety of methodologies for estimating a country’s potential output level and presents empirical estimates for Sweden. The paper explains why these methods produce a variety of results, some of which are more plausible than others. The paper looks more closely at one aspect of growth in potential output: how it has been affected by the structural policy improvements of the past several years. The paper examines the pattern of output and unemployment over time to separate permanent changes from cyclical and other temporary changes.
