Author: Arnold Zellner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 7
Book Description
A Note on Aggregation, Disaggregation and Forecasting Performance
Author: Arnold Zellner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 7
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 7
Book Description
Understanding and forecasting aggregate and disaggregate price dynamics
Author: Colin Bermingham
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Entropy Application for Forecasting
Author: Ana Jesus Lopez-Menendez
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3039364871
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 200
Book Description
This book shows the potential of entropy and information theory in forecasting, including both theoretical developments and empirical applications. The contents cover a great diversity of topics, such as the aggregation and combination of individual forecasts, the comparison of forecasting performance, and the debate concerning the tradeoff between complexity and accuracy. Analyses of forecasting uncertainty, robustness, and inconsistency are also included, as are proposals for new forecasting approaches. The proposed methods encompass a variety of time series techniques (e.g., ARIMA, VAR, state space models) as well as econometric methods and machine learning algorithms. The empirical contents include both simulated experiments and real-world applications focusing on GDP, M4-Competition series, confidence and industrial trend surveys, and stock exchange composite indices, among others. In summary, this collection provides an engaging insight into entropy applications for forecasting, offering an interesting overview of the current situation and suggesting possibilities for further research in this field.
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3039364871
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 200
Book Description
This book shows the potential of entropy and information theory in forecasting, including both theoretical developments and empirical applications. The contents cover a great diversity of topics, such as the aggregation and combination of individual forecasts, the comparison of forecasting performance, and the debate concerning the tradeoff between complexity and accuracy. Analyses of forecasting uncertainty, robustness, and inconsistency are also included, as are proposals for new forecasting approaches. The proposed methods encompass a variety of time series techniques (e.g., ARIMA, VAR, state space models) as well as econometric methods and machine learning algorithms. The empirical contents include both simulated experiments and real-world applications focusing on GDP, M4-Competition series, confidence and industrial trend surveys, and stock exchange composite indices, among others. In summary, this collection provides an engaging insight into entropy applications for forecasting, offering an interesting overview of the current situation and suggesting possibilities for further research in this field.
Computational Logistics
Author: Carlos Paternina-Arboleda
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030311406
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 444
Book Description
This book constitutes the proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Computational Logistics, ICCL 2019, held in Barranquilla, Colombia, in September/October 2019. The 27 papers included in this book were carefully reviewed and selected from 49 submissions. They were organized in topical sections named: freight transportation and urban logistics; maritime and port logistics; vehicle routing problems; network design and distribution problems; and selected topics in decision support systems and ICT tools.
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030311406
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 444
Book Description
This book constitutes the proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Computational Logistics, ICCL 2019, held in Barranquilla, Colombia, in September/October 2019. The 27 papers included in this book were carefully reviewed and selected from 49 submissions. They were organized in topical sections named: freight transportation and urban logistics; maritime and port logistics; vehicle routing problems; network design and distribution problems; and selected topics in decision support systems and ICT tools.
Statistics, Econometrics and Forecasting
Author: Arnold Zellner
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521540445
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 186
Book Description
Based on two lectures presented as part of The Stone Lectures in Economics series, Arnold Zellner describes the structural econometric time series analysis (SEMTSA) approach to statistical and econometric modeling. Developed by Zellner and Franz Palm, the SEMTSA approach produces an understanding of the relationship of univariate and multivariate time series forecasting models and dynamic, time series structural econometric models. As scientists and decision-makers in industry and government world-wide adopt the Bayesian approach to scientific inference, decision-making and forecasting, Zellner offers an in-depth analysis and appreciation of this important paradigm shift. Finally Zellner discusses the alternative approaches to model building and looks at how the use and development of the SEMTSA approach has led to the production of a Marshallian Macroeconomic Model that will prove valuable to many. Written by one of the foremost practitioners of econometrics, this book will have wide academic and professional appeal.
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521540445
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 186
Book Description
Based on two lectures presented as part of The Stone Lectures in Economics series, Arnold Zellner describes the structural econometric time series analysis (SEMTSA) approach to statistical and econometric modeling. Developed by Zellner and Franz Palm, the SEMTSA approach produces an understanding of the relationship of univariate and multivariate time series forecasting models and dynamic, time series structural econometric models. As scientists and decision-makers in industry and government world-wide adopt the Bayesian approach to scientific inference, decision-making and forecasting, Zellner offers an in-depth analysis and appreciation of this important paradigm shift. Finally Zellner discusses the alternative approaches to model building and looks at how the use and development of the SEMTSA approach has led to the production of a Marshallian Macroeconomic Model that will prove valuable to many. Written by one of the foremost practitioners of econometrics, this book will have wide academic and professional appeal.
Aggregation Vs. Disaggregation and Forecasting
Author: Dov Fried
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Financial statements
Languages : en
Pages : 120
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Financial statements
Languages : en
Pages : 120
Book Description
The Structural Econometric Time Series Analysis Approach
Author: Arnold Zellner
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9781139453431
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 736
Book Description
Bringing together a collection of previously published work, this book provides a discussion of major considerations relating to the construction of econometric models that work well to explain economic phenomena, predict future outcomes and be useful for policy-making. Analytical relations between dynamic econometric structural models and empirical time series MVARMA, VAR, transfer function, and univariate ARIMA models are established with important application for model-checking and model construction. The theory and applications of these procedures to a variety of econometric modeling and forecasting problems as well as Bayesian and non-Bayesian testing, shrinkage estimation and forecasting procedures are also presented and applied. Finally, attention is focused on the effects of disaggregation on forecasting precision and the Marshallian Macroeconomic Model that features demand, supply and entry equations for major sectors of economies is analysed and described. This volume will prove invaluable to professionals, academics and students alike.
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9781139453431
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 736
Book Description
Bringing together a collection of previously published work, this book provides a discussion of major considerations relating to the construction of econometric models that work well to explain economic phenomena, predict future outcomes and be useful for policy-making. Analytical relations between dynamic econometric structural models and empirical time series MVARMA, VAR, transfer function, and univariate ARIMA models are established with important application for model-checking and model construction. The theory and applications of these procedures to a variety of econometric modeling and forecasting problems as well as Bayesian and non-Bayesian testing, shrinkage estimation and forecasting procedures are also presented and applied. Finally, attention is focused on the effects of disaggregation on forecasting precision and the Marshallian Macroeconomic Model that features demand, supply and entry equations for major sectors of economies is analysed and described. This volume will prove invaluable to professionals, academics and students alike.
Aggregation Vs. Disaggregation in Forecasting Construction Activity
Author: Pekka Ilmakunnas
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 20
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 20
Book Description
Handbook of Empirical Economics and Finance
Author: Aman Ullah
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 9781420070361
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 532
Book Description
Handbook of Empirical Economics and Finance explores the latest developments in the analysis and modeling of economic and financial data. Well-recognized econometric experts discuss the rapidly growing research in economics and finance and offer insight on the future direction of these fields. Focusing on micro models, the first group of chapters describes the statistical issues involved in the analysis of econometric models with cross-sectional data often arising in microeconomics. The book then illustrates time series models that are extensively used in empirical macroeconomics and finance. The last set of chapters explores the types of panel data and spatial models that are becoming increasingly significant in analyzing complex economic behavior and policy evaluations. This handbook brings together both background material and new methodological and applied results that are extremely important to the current and future frontiers in empirical economics and finance. It emphasizes inferential issues that transpire in the analysis of cross-sectional, time series, and panel data-based empirical models in economics, finance, and related disciplines.
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 9781420070361
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 532
Book Description
Handbook of Empirical Economics and Finance explores the latest developments in the analysis and modeling of economic and financial data. Well-recognized econometric experts discuss the rapidly growing research in economics and finance and offer insight on the future direction of these fields. Focusing on micro models, the first group of chapters describes the statistical issues involved in the analysis of econometric models with cross-sectional data often arising in microeconomics. The book then illustrates time series models that are extensively used in empirical macroeconomics and finance. The last set of chapters explores the types of panel data and spatial models that are becoming increasingly significant in analyzing complex economic behavior and policy evaluations. This handbook brings together both background material and new methodological and applied results that are extremely important to the current and future frontiers in empirical economics and finance. It emphasizes inferential issues that transpire in the analysis of cross-sectional, time series, and panel data-based empirical models in economics, finance, and related disciplines.
Service Parts Management
Author: Nezih Altay
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0857290398
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 315
Book Description
With the pressure of time-based competition increasing, and customers demanding faster service, availability of service parts becomes a critical component of manufacturing and servicing operations. Service Parts Management first focuses on intermittent demand forecasting and then on the management of service parts inventories. It guides researchers and practitioners in finding better management solutions to their problems and is both an excellent reference for key concepts and a leading resource for further research. Demand forecasting techniques are presented for parametric and nonparametric approaches, and multi echelon cases and inventory pooling are also considered. Inventory control is examined in the continuous and periodic review cases, while the following are all examined in the context of forecasting: • error measures, • distributional assumptions, and • decision trees. Service Parts Management provides the reader with an overview and a detailed treatment of the current state of the research available on the forecasting and inventory management of items with intermittent demand. It is a comprehensive review of service parts management and provides a starting point for researchers, postgraduate students, and anyone interested in forecasting or managing inventory.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0857290398
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 315
Book Description
With the pressure of time-based competition increasing, and customers demanding faster service, availability of service parts becomes a critical component of manufacturing and servicing operations. Service Parts Management first focuses on intermittent demand forecasting and then on the management of service parts inventories. It guides researchers and practitioners in finding better management solutions to their problems and is both an excellent reference for key concepts and a leading resource for further research. Demand forecasting techniques are presented for parametric and nonparametric approaches, and multi echelon cases and inventory pooling are also considered. Inventory control is examined in the continuous and periodic review cases, while the following are all examined in the context of forecasting: • error measures, • distributional assumptions, and • decision trees. Service Parts Management provides the reader with an overview and a detailed treatment of the current state of the research available on the forecasting and inventory management of items with intermittent demand. It is a comprehensive review of service parts management and provides a starting point for researchers, postgraduate students, and anyone interested in forecasting or managing inventory.