A Mathematical Theory of Hints

A Mathematical Theory of Hints PDF Author: Juerg Kohlas
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662016745
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 430

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Book Description
An approach to the modeling of and the reasoning under uncertainty. The book develops the Dempster-Shafer Theory with regard to the reliability of reasoning with uncertain arguments. Of particular interest here is the development of a new synthesis and the integration of logic and probability theory. The reader benefits from a new approach to uncertainty modeling which extends classical probability theory.

A Mathematical Theory of Hints

A Mathematical Theory of Hints PDF Author: Juerg Kohlas
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662016745
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 430

Get Book Here

Book Description
An approach to the modeling of and the reasoning under uncertainty. The book develops the Dempster-Shafer Theory with regard to the reliability of reasoning with uncertain arguments. Of particular interest here is the development of a new synthesis and the integration of logic and probability theory. The reader benefits from a new approach to uncertainty modeling which extends classical probability theory.

A Mathematical Theory of Hints

A Mathematical Theory of Hints PDF Author: Jürg Kohlas
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics, Mathematical
Languages : en
Pages : 1190

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Book Description


A Mathematical Theory of Evidence

A Mathematical Theory of Evidence PDF Author: Glenn Shafer
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691214697
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
Both in science and in practical affairs we reason by combining facts only inconclusively supported by evidence. Building on an abstract understanding of this process of combination, this book constructs a new theory of epistemic probability. The theory draws on the work of A. P. Dempster but diverges from Depster's viewpoint by identifying his "lower probabilities" as epistemic probabilities and taking his rule for combining "upper and lower probabilities" as fundamental. The book opens with a critique of the well-known Bayesian theory of epistemic probability. It then proceeds to develop an alternative to the additive set functions and the rule of conditioning of the Bayesian theory: set functions that need only be what Choquet called "monotone of order of infinity." and Dempster's rule for combining such set functions. This rule, together with the idea of "weights of evidence," leads to both an extensive new theory and a better understanding of the Bayesian theory. The book concludes with a brief treatment of statistical inference and a discussion of the limitations of epistemic probability. Appendices contain mathematical proofs, which are relatively elementary and seldom depend on mathematics more advanced that the binomial theorem.

Probability Theory in Finance

Probability Theory in Finance PDF Author: Seán Dineen
Publisher: American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN: 0821894900
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 323

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Book Description
The use of the Black-Scholes model and formula is pervasive in financial markets. There are very few undergraduate textbooks available on the subject and, until now, almost none written by mathematicians. Based on a course given by the author, the goal of

The Knot Book

The Knot Book PDF Author: Colin Conrad Adams
Publisher: American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN: 0821836781
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 330

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Book Description
Knots are familiar objects. Yet the mathematical theory of knots quickly leads to deep results in topology and geometry. This work offers an introduction to this theory, starting with our understanding of knots. It presents the applications of knot theory to modern chemistry, biology and physics.

An Adventurer's Guide to Number Theory

An Adventurer's Guide to Number Theory PDF Author: Richard Friedberg
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 0486152693
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 241

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Book Description
This witty introduction to number theory deals with the properties of numbers and numbers as abstract concepts. Topics include primes, divisibility, quadratic forms, and related theorems.

A Mathematical Theory of Arguments for Statistical Evidence

A Mathematical Theory of Arguments for Statistical Evidence PDF Author: Paul-Andre Monney
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642517463
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 160

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Book Description
The subject of this book is the reasoning under uncertainty based on sta tistical evidence, where the word reasoning is taken to mean searching for arguments in favor or against particular hypotheses of interest. The kind of reasoning we are using is composed of two aspects. The first one is inspired from classical reasoning in formal logic, where deductions are made from a knowledge base of observed facts and formulas representing the domain spe cific knowledge. In this book, the facts are the statistical observations and the general knowledge is represented by an instance of a special kind of sta tistical models called functional models. The second aspect deals with the uncertainty under which the formal reasoning takes place. For this aspect, the theory of hints [27] is the appropriate tool. Basically, we assume that some uncertain perturbation takes a specific value and then logically eval uate the consequences of this assumption. The original uncertainty about the perturbation is then transferred to the consequences of the assumption. This kind of reasoning is called assumption-based reasoning. Before going into more details about the content of this book, it might be interesting to look briefly at the roots and origins of assumption-based reasoning in the statistical context. In 1930, R. A. Fisher [17] defined the notion of fiducial distribution as the result of a new form of argument, as opposed to the result of the older Bayesian argument.

Mathematical Theory of Computation

Mathematical Theory of Computation PDF Author: Zohar Manna
Publisher: Courier Dover Publications
ISBN: 9780486432380
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
With the objective of making into a science the art of verifying computer programs (debugging), the author addresses both practical and theoretical aspects of the process. A classic of sequential program verification, this volume has been translated into almost a dozen other languages and is much in demand among graduate and advanced undergraduate computer science students. Subjects include computability (with discussions of finite automata and Turing machines); predicate calculus (basic notions, natural deduction, and the resolution method); verification of programs (both flowchart and algol-like programs); flowchart schemas (basic notions, decision problems, formalization in predicate calculus, and translation programs); and the fixpoint theory of programs (functions and functionals, recursive programs, and verification programs). The treamtent is self-contained, and each chapter concludes with bibliographic remarks, references, and problems.

Morphing

Morphing PDF Author: Joseph Choma
Publisher: Laurence King Publishing
ISBN: 1780677227
Category : Architecture
Languages : en
Pages : 317

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Book Description
Cylinders, spheres and cubes are a small handful of shapes that can be defined by a single word. However, most shapes cannot be found in a dictionary. They belong to an alternative plastic world defined by trigonometry: a mathematical world where all shapes can be described under one systematic language and where any shape can transform into another. This visually striking guidebook clearly and systematically lays out the basic foundation for using these mathematical transformations as design tools. It is intended for architects, designers, and anyone with the curiosity to understand the link between shapes and the equations behind them.

Mathematical Models of Social Evolution

Mathematical Models of Social Evolution PDF Author: Richard McElreath
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226558282
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 429

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Book Description
Over the last several decades, mathematical models have become central to the study of social evolution, both in biology and the social sciences. But students in these disciplines often seriously lack the tools to understand them. A primer on behavioral modeling that includes both mathematics and evolutionary theory, Mathematical Models of Social Evolution aims to make the student and professional researcher in biology and the social sciences fully conversant in the language of the field. Teaching biological concepts from which models can be developed, Richard McElreath and Robert Boyd introduce readers to many of the typical mathematical tools that are used to analyze evolutionary models and end each chapter with a set of problems that draw upon these techniques. Mathematical Models of Social Evolution equips behaviorists and evolutionary biologists with the mathematical knowledge to truly understand the models on which their research depends. Ultimately, McElreath and Boyd’s goal is to impart the fundamental concepts that underlie modern biological understandings of the evolution of behavior so that readers will be able to more fully appreciate journal articles and scientific literature, and start building models of their own.