The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion PDF Download
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Author: Leonard C. MacLean
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814293490
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 883
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Book Description
This volume provides the definitive treatment of fortune's formula or the Kelly capital growth criterion as it is often called. The strategy is to maximize long run wealth of the investor by maximizing the period by period expected utility of wealth with a logarithmic utility function. Mathematical theorems show that only the log utility function maximizes asymptotic long run wealth and minimizes the expected time to arbitrary large goals. In general, the strategy is risky in the short term but as the number of bets increase, the Kelly bettor's wealth tends to be much larger than those with essentially different strategies. So most of the time, the Kelly bettor will have much more wealth than these other bettors but the Kelly strategy can lead to considerable losses a small percent of the time. There are ways to reduce this risk at the cost of lower expected final wealth using fractional Kelly strategies that blend the Kelly suggested wager with cash. The various classic reprinted papers and the new ones written specifically for this volume cover various aspects of the theory and practice of dynamic investing. Good and bad properties are discussed, as are fixed-mix and volatility induced growth strategies. The relationships with utility theory and the use of these ideas by great investors are featured.
Author: Leonard C. MacLean
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814293490
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 883
Get Book Here
Book Description
This volume provides the definitive treatment of fortune's formula or the Kelly capital growth criterion as it is often called. The strategy is to maximize long run wealth of the investor by maximizing the period by period expected utility of wealth with a logarithmic utility function. Mathematical theorems show that only the log utility function maximizes asymptotic long run wealth and minimizes the expected time to arbitrary large goals. In general, the strategy is risky in the short term but as the number of bets increase, the Kelly bettor's wealth tends to be much larger than those with essentially different strategies. So most of the time, the Kelly bettor will have much more wealth than these other bettors but the Kelly strategy can lead to considerable losses a small percent of the time. There are ways to reduce this risk at the cost of lower expected final wealth using fractional Kelly strategies that blend the Kelly suggested wager with cash. The various classic reprinted papers and the new ones written specifically for this volume cover various aspects of the theory and practice of dynamic investing. Good and bad properties are discussed, as are fixed-mix and volatility induced growth strategies. The relationships with utility theory and the use of these ideas by great investors are featured.
Author: Stewart N. Ethier
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540787836
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 822
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Book Description
Three centuries ago Montmort and De Moivre published two books on probability theory emphasizing its most important application at that time, games of chance. This book, on the probabilistic aspects of gambling, is a modern version of those classics.
Author: Mark Bollman
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000423840
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 364
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Book Description
Mathematics is the basis of casino games, which are the bedrock of a $100 billion/year industry. Mathematics of the Big Four Casino Table Games: Blackjack, Baccarat, Craps, & Roulette takes an in-depth look at the four biggest table games in casinos: blackjack, baccarat, craps, and roulette. It guides readers through the mathematical principles that underpin these games and their different variations, providing insights that will be of huge interest to gamblers, casino managers, researchers, and students of mathematics. Features A valuable teaching resource, replete with exercises, for any course on gambling mathematics Suitable for a wide audience of professionals, researchers, and students Many practical applications for the gambling industry Mark Bollman is Professor of Mathematics and chair of the Department of Mathematics & Computer Science at Albion College in Albion, Michigan, and has taught 116 different courses in his career. Among these courses is "Mathematics of the Gaming Industry," where mathematics majors carefully study the math behind games of chance and travel to Las Vegas, Nevada, in order to compare theory and practice. He has also taken those ideas into Albion’s Honors Program in "Great Issues in Humanities: Perspectives on Gambling," which considers gambling from literary, philosophical, and historical points of view as well as mathematically. Mark has also authored Basic Gambling Mathematics: The Numbers Behind the Neon, Mathematics of Keno and Lotteries, and Mathematics of Casino Carnival Games.
Author: Edward O. Thorp
Publisher: Martino Fine Books
ISBN: 9781614278474
Category : Games & Activities
Languages : en
Pages : 82
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Book Description
2015 Reprint of 1963 Edition. Full Facsimile of the original edition. Not reproduced with Optical Recognition Software. Co-written by the author of the "Beat the Dealer," this work provides a mathematically based model intended to improve the chances of winning not only in Baccarat, but in black jack and other games of chance. Language is quite technical, but parts are accessible to the average player and the theory informs all of Thorp's and Walden's more popular work. A scarce scholarly treatise on probability and its application to games of chance.
Author:
Publisher: SelMcKenzie Publishing
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 63
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Book Description
Author: Mark Bollman
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1482208938
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 285
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Book Description
Understand the Math Underlying Some of Your Favorite Gambling Games Basic Gambling Mathematics: The Numbers Behind the Neon explains the mathematics involved in analyzing games of chance, including casino games, horse racing, and lotteries. The book helps readers understand the mathematical reasons why some gambling games are better for the player than others. It is also suitable as a textbook for an introductory course on probability. Along with discussing the mathematics of well-known casino games, the author examines game variations that have been proposed or used in actual casinos. Numerous examples illustrate the mathematical ideas in a range of casino games while end-of-chapter exercises go beyond routine calculations to give readers hands-on experience with casino-related computations. The book begins with a brief historical introduction and mathematical preliminaries before developing the essential results and applications of elementary probability, including the important idea of mathematical expectation. The author then addresses probability questions arising from a variety of games, including roulette, craps, baccarat, blackjack, Caribbean stud poker, Royal Roulette, and sic bo. The final chapter explores the mathematics behind "get rich quick" schemes, such as the martingale and the Iron Cross, and shows how simple mathematics uncovers the flaws in these systems.
Author: Richard A. Epstein
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 012397870X
Category : Games & Activities
Languages : en
Pages : 466
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Book Description
Early in his rise to enlightenment, man invented a concept that has since been variously viewed as a vice, a crime, a business, a pleasure, a type of magic, a disease, a folly, a weakness, a form of sexual substitution, an expression of the human instinct. He invented gambling. Recent advances in the field, particularly Parrondo's paradox, have triggered a surge of interest in the statistical and mathematical theory behind gambling. This interest was acknowledge in the motion picture, "21," inspired by the true story of the MIT students who mastered the art of card counting to reap millions from the Vegas casinos. Richard Epstein's classic book on gambling and its mathematical analysis covers the full range of games from penny matching to blackjack, from Tic-Tac-Toe to the stock market (including Edward Thorp's warrant-hedging analysis). He even considers whether statistical inference can shed light on the study of paranormal phenomena. Epstein is witty and insightful, a pleasure to dip into and read and rewarding to study. The book is written at a fairly sophisticated mathematical level; this is not "Gambling for Dummies" or "How To Beat The Odds Without Really Trying." A background in upper-level undergraduate mathematics is helpful for understanding this work. - Comprehensive and exciting analysis of all major casino games and variants - Covers a wide range of interesting topics not covered in other books on the subject - Depth and breadth of its material is unique compared to other books of this nature Richard Epstein's website: www.gamblingtheory.net
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 828
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Book Description
Author: United States. Commission on the Review of the National Policy Toward Gambling
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Gambling
Languages : en
Pages : 1430
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Book Description
Author: Paul R. Halmos
Publisher: American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN: 9780821886090
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 348
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Book Description
Paul R. Halmos, eminent mathematician, is also a snapshot addict. For the past 45 years, Halmos has snapped mathematicians, their spouses, their brothers and sisters and other relatives, their offices, their dogs, and their carillon towers. From 6000 or so photographs in his collection, Halmos chose about 600 for this book. The pictures are candid shots showing mathematicians just being themselves, and the accompanying captions, in addition to identifying the subjects, contain anecdotes and bits of history that reveal Halmos' inimitable wit and insight.
